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Red324
3293104.4
234105.7
1720115.4
Blue388
5155115.1
2481133.0
508693.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351350280300320340360380400420324388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#26
115.42.2
117.6115.4
Auto12.4
Teleop62.6
End40.4
blue by 17.6
133.03.6
130.6134.2
Auto26.7
Teleop56.9
End49.4
Second
234
#44
105.72.2
107.4105.2
Auto14.3
Teleop58.5
End32.9
blue by 9.4
115.13.6
113.8117.4
Auto12.8
Teleop52.2
End50.1
Third
3293
#27
104.42.2
106.6104.4
Auto12.7
Teleop43.6
End48.0
red by 10.9
5086
#30
93.53.6
89.993.5
Auto13.3
Teleop43.7
End36.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
85%Rotor oddsEarned31%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed4%Pressure oddsEarned