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Red352
638190.2
4143123.2
661393.5
Blue350
250088.1
5801114.7
309899.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327295100200400500600352350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#16
123.20.3
122.0121.8
Auto14.0
Teleop52.5
End56.6
red by 8.4
5801
#13
114.74.4
110.3114.7
Auto13.7
Teleop49.8
End51.3
Second
6613
#19
93.50.3
93.893.5
Auto7.7
Teleop44.7
End41.2
blue by 5.8
3098
#54
99.44.4
90.394.7
Auto13.3
Teleop52.7
End33.3
Third
6381
#24
90.20.3
90.590.2
Auto9.6
Teleop44.9
End35.7
red by 2.2
2500
#52
88.14.4
83.788.1
Auto9.9
Teleop37.4
End40.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsEarned15%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed