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Red351
253499.8
1807106.1
3875107.7
Blue357
203105.9
5885112.9
4917120.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3053460200400600800351357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#49
107.73.7
104.9108.6
Auto12.8
Teleop49.8
End45.1
blue by 12.7
120.42.2
103.8106.0
Auto12.7
Teleop61.1
End46.6
Second
1807
#29
106.13.7
100.0103.8
Auto8.0
Teleop47.4
End50.7
blue by 6.8
5885
#10
112.92.2
110.6112.9
Auto10.0
Teleop52.6
End50.3
Third
2534
#32
99.83.7
90.293.9
Auto9.8
Teleop49.7
End40.2
blue by 6.2
203
#40
105.92.2
109.0111.3
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor oddsEarned87%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed