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Red255
329102.4
207797.7
420780.0
Blue261
326092.8
449101.4
278181.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28024204006008001,0001,2001,4001,600255261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#38
102.40.4
95.094.6
Auto12.8
Teleop46.3
End43.3
red by 1.0
449
#37
101.41.4
84.485.8
Auto11.7
Teleop49.1
End40.7
Second
2077
#61
97.70.4
86.085.6
Auto11.4
Teleop41.5
End44.7
red by 4.9
3260
#36
92.81.4
86.287.6
Auto12.0
Teleop46.2
End34.6
Third
4207
#63
80.00.5
79.879.3
Auto9.3
Teleop39.7
End31.0
blue by 1.1
2781
#48
81.11.7
64.065.8
Auto8.5
Teleop40.0
End32.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed