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Red299
2481133.0
3875107.7
1675100.3
Blue383
5801114.7
93589.6
2056154.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3303720100200300500600299383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.01.4
127.5126.2
Auto26.7
Teleop56.9
End49.4
blue by 21.4
154.50.7
157.0157.7
Auto35.0
Teleop70.6
End48.8
Second
3875
#49
107.71.4
106.8105.4
Auto12.8
Teleop49.8
End45.1
blue by 7.0
5801
#13
114.70.7
102.0102.7
Auto13.7
Teleop49.8
End51.3
Third
1675
#23
100.31.4
85.083.6
Auto12.0
Teleop50.7
End37.6
red by 10.7
935
#50
89.60.7
88.889.5
Auto9.6
Teleop31.6
End48.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
3%Pressure oddsMissed82%Pressure oddsEarned