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Red350
226111.3
191895.4
3293104.4
Blue305
159891.1
2169117.4
338691.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162980100200400500350305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
111.33.5
99.8103.3
Auto15.0
Teleop50.2
End46.1
blue by 6.1
2169
#14
117.41.3
109.7111.0
Auto10.3
Teleop55.2
End51.9
Second
3293
#27
104.43.5
99.5103.0
Auto12.7
Teleop43.6
End48.0
red by 13.0
3386
#41
91.41.3
90.191.5
Auto9.2
Teleop37.9
End44.3
Third
1918
#34
95.43.5
98.3101.7
Auto9.6
Teleop52.5
End33.2
red by 4.3
1598
#47
91.11.3
85.386.6
Auto11.5
Teleop37.5
End42.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
12%Rotor oddsEarned3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed