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Red309
171490.8
1241126.2
5155115.1
Blue305
494120.7
314286.6
279193.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334340250300400450309305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#12
126.20.6
113.7113.1
Auto16.2
Teleop58.0
End52.0
red by 5.5
494
#7
120.71.1
122.4121.3
Auto16.6
Teleop60.1
End44.0
Second
115.10.6
118.9118.3
Auto12.8
Teleop52.2
End50.1
red by 21.3
2791
#45
93.81.1
109.8108.7
Auto11.2
Teleop51.6
End31.0
Third
1714
#55
90.80.6
85.384.7
Auto12.1
Teleop41.4
End37.3
red by 4.2
3142
#53
86.61.1
89.788.6
Auto8.6
Teleop46.1
End31.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
72%Rotor oddsMissed43%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed