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Red256
4917120.4
250088.1
452273.8
Blue305
642483.5
338691.4
71129.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297326150200250350400450256305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120.42.0
119.5117.5
Auto12.7
Teleop61.1
End46.6
blue by 9.1
71
#8
129.60.1
131.9131.8
Auto13.5
Teleop55.4
End60.7
Second
2500
#52
88.12.0
83.281.2
Auto9.9
Teleop37.4
End40.8
blue by 3.3
3386
#41
91.40.1
91.591.4
Auto9.2
Teleop37.9
End44.3
Third
4522
#66
73.82.0
83.081.0
Auto5.7
Teleop30.7
End37.4
blue by 9.7
6424
#20
83.50.1
82.982.8
Auto9.0
Teleop37.6
End37.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
15%Rotor oddsMissed26%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed