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Red315
234105.7
250088.1
203105.9
Blue301
2056154.5
2609115.4
245793.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953970100200500600315301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#40
105.91.4
110.0111.5
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
blue by 48.5
154.54.2
160.1155.9
Auto35.0
Teleop70.6
End48.8
Second
234
#44
105.71.4
102.4103.8
Auto14.3
Teleop58.5
End32.9
blue by 9.7
2609
#58
115.44.2
120.8116.5
Auto13.5
Teleop53.6
End48.3
Third
2500
#52
88.11.4
81.282.6
Auto9.9
Teleop37.4
End40.8
blue by 5.6
2457
#39
93.74.2
83.479.2
Auto10.9
Teleop43.3
End39.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
38%Rotor oddsEarned53%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed81%Pressure oddsEarned