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Red334
207797.7
35456.5
747103.8
Blue297
3929100.6
226111.3
675873.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462870100200400500600700334297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
#57
103.84.7
96.0100.6
Auto7.9
Teleop45.7
End50.2
blue by 7.5
226
#15
111.32.0
108.3110.2
Auto15.0
Teleop50.2
End46.1
Second
2077
#61
97.74.7
90.495.1
Auto11.4
Teleop41.5
End44.7
blue by 2.9
3929
#43
100.62.0
95.597.5
Auto9.9
Teleop53.7
End37.0
Third
354
#68
56.54.7
52.557.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.4
End22.0
blue by 17.4
6758
#64
73.92.0
63.565.4
Auto8.1
Teleop41.3
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed30%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed