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Red352
649087.5
5895117.8
340121.4
Blue410
2164117.7
2960118.3
4967122.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3223850200600800352410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#24
121.42.5
118.8121.3
Auto10.4
Teleop61.6
End49.4
blue by 0.7
4967
#14
122.21.8
123.8125.6
Auto29.5
Teleop51.6
End41.1
Second
5895
#20
117.82.5
113.3115.8
Auto16.5
Teleop49.8
End51.5
blue by 0.5
118.31.8
119.4121.2
Auto13.5
Teleop51.9
End52.8
Third
6490
#62
87.52.5
82.384.8
Auto7.7
Teleop44.8
End35.1
blue by 30.2
2164
#11
117.71.8
114.6116.4
Auto10.1
Teleop55.5
End52.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
34%Rotor oddsEarned51%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed33%Pressure oddsEarned