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Red295
485998.8
6691.3
5690105.6
Blue351
17892.4
1285113.1
1676119.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3083460100200400500600700295351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.60.2
108.2108.0
Auto10.9
Teleop51.2
End43.5
blue by 13.7
1676
#22
119.31.5
119.4120.8
Auto15.7
Teleop57.0
End46.6
Second
4859
#58
98.80.2
98.998.8
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End44.9
blue by 14.4
1285
#54
113.11.5
113.5115.0
Auto11.6
Teleop58.9
End42.6
Third
66
#46
91.30.2
90.490.2
Auto13.9
Teleop51.7
End25.8
blue by 1.1
178
#35
92.41.5
90.992.4
Auto8.0
Teleop37.3
End47.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
17%Rotor oddsEarned81%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed