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Red255
424295.8
201102.3
1676119.3
Blue290
654899.6
75114.1
544292.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282990100200400500600700800255290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#22
119.33.5
110.1106.6
Auto15.7
Teleop57.0
End46.6
red by 5.2
75
#10
114.10.2
110.3110.1
Auto13.9
Teleop55.6
End44.6
Second
201
#61
102.33.5
96.893.3
Auto10.9
Teleop43.8
End47.6
red by 2.7
6548
#15
99.60.2
89.489.2
Auto9.6
Teleop43.8
End46.2
Third
4242
#51
95.83.5
100.797.2
Auto11.5
Teleop44.5
End39.8
red by 3.1
5442
#39
92.70.2
87.987.7
Auto11.4
Teleop43.4
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
20%Rotor oddsMissed11%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed