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Red281
27111.3
485998.8
4122105.5
Blue300
2181101.8
1262101.6
424295.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342296100200400500600281300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#40
111.32.5
115.5112.9
Auto20.2
Teleop53.7
End37.4
red by 9.5
2181
#23
101.80.6
89.890.4
Auto12.6
Teleop48.0
End41.2
Second
4122
#59
105.52.5
110.3107.8
Auto12.0
Teleop39.1
End54.4
red by 3.9
1262
#47
101.60.5
98.098.5
Auto10.4
Teleop44.7
End46.5
Third
4859
#58
98.82.8
93.390.5
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End44.9
red by 3.0
4242
#51
95.80.5
99.8100.3
Auto11.5
Teleop44.5
End39.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed