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Red238
544292.7
2767121.0
192399.6
Blue326
4967122.2
4558.8
5436117.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3552710100200400500600700238326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.05.9
120.0114.1
Auto22.2
Teleop62.7
End36.2
blue by 1.1
4967
#14
122.23.5
118.6122.1
Auto29.5
Teleop51.6
End41.1
Second
1923
#43
99.65.9
116.6110.7
Auto9.0
Teleop49.9
End40.7
blue by 17.9
117.53.5
107.3110.8
Auto11.5
Teleop57.5
End48.5
Third
5442
#39
92.75.9
89.984.0
Auto11.4
Teleop43.4
End37.8
red by 33.9
45
#64
58.83.5
42.345.9
Auto5.2
Teleop37.3
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsEarned3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
57%Pressure oddsMissed44%Pressure oddsEarned