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Red290
1676119.3
436296.5
15691.9
Blue323
1262101.6
5406131.7
1806114.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923560200400600800290323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#22
119.31.4
111.4110.1
Auto15.7
Teleop57.0
End46.6
blue by 12.4
131.70.5
118.2117.7
Auto23.7
Teleop56.5
End51.5
Second
4362
#36
96.51.4
91.389.9
Auto14.8
Teleop47.2
End34.4
blue by 18.0
1806
#28
114.50.5
110.0109.6
Auto18.5
Teleop45.3
End50.6
Third
156
#49
91.91.4
82.981.5
Auto10.6
Teleop37.0
End44.3
blue by 9.7
1262
#47
101.60.5
101.9101.5
Auto10.4
Teleop44.7
End46.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
15%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed