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Red411
1806114.5
4967122.2
517379.9
Blue205
201102.3
375591.2
3620111.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307314250350400411205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
122.24.5
112.4116.9
Auto29.5
Teleop51.6
End41.1
red by 10.9
3620
#37
111.26.2
113.8107.7
Auto14.7
Teleop59.0
End37.5
Second
1806
#28
114.54.5
107.6112.1
Auto18.5
Teleop45.3
End50.6
red by 12.2
201
#61
102.36.2
99.893.7
Auto10.9
Teleop43.8
End47.6
Third
5173
#66
79.94.5
72.877.4
Auto8.0
Teleop37.2
End34.7
blue by 11.3
3755
#53
91.26.2
84.077.8
Auto10.7
Teleop42.4
End38.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed22%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
29%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed