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Red299
584698.1
5406131.7
340121.4
Blue310
654899.6
192399.6
5976113.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3643170100200400500600700299310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.72.7
127.7125.0
Auto23.7
Teleop56.5
End51.5
red by 18.4
5976
#21
113.31.5
112.8111.3
Auto13.1
Teleop51.3
End48.9
Second
340
#24
121.42.7
117.2114.5
Auto10.4
Teleop61.6
End49.4
red by 21.9
1923
#43
99.61.5
102.0100.5
Auto9.0
Teleop49.9
End40.7
Third
5846
#63
98.12.7
95.092.3
Auto12.1
Teleop42.7
End43.3
blue by 1.5
6548
#15
99.61.5
92.591.0
Auto9.6
Teleop43.8
End46.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
47%Rotor oddsEarned49%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed