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Red308
192399.6
1262101.6
17892.4
Blue263
1306101.5
649087.5
424295.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296302200250350308263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#47
101.61.5
98.499.9
Auto10.4
Teleop44.7
End46.5
red by 0.1
1306
#34
101.51.7
104.1102.4
Auto13.9
Teleop47.8
End39.8
Second
1923
#43
99.61.5
99.3100.8
Auto9.0
Teleop49.9
End40.7
red by 3.8
4242
#51
95.81.7
95.393.6
Auto11.5
Teleop44.5
End39.8
Third
178
#35
92.41.5
87.589.0
Auto8.0
Teleop37.3
End47.1
red by 4.9
6490
#62
87.51.7
84.082.3
Auto7.7
Teleop44.8
End35.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
18%Rotor oddsMissed13%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed