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Red271
2614103.2
1285113.1
5895117.8
Blue413
192399.6
254160.9
5509116.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3264220100200500600700800271413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#20
117.83.7
99.295.5
Auto16.5
Teleop49.8
End51.5
blue by 43.1
254
#2
160.90.1
167.3167.2
Auto34.3
Teleop71.4
End55.1
Second
1285
#54
113.13.7
117.7114.0
Auto11.6
Teleop58.9
End42.6
blue by 3.4
5509
#25
116.50.1
108.3108.2
Auto11.6
Teleop57.7
End47.2
Third
2614
#29
103.23.7
105.1101.4
Auto12.4
Teleop45.8
End45.0
red by 3.6
1923
#43
99.60.1
113.4113.3
Auto9.0
Teleop49.9
End40.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
11%Rotor oddsMissed48%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed11%Pressure oddsEarned