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Red336
6691.3
4967122.2
910107.8
Blue425
2830115.1
6328103.5
5406131.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3263610100200400500600700336425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
122.21.4
122.4123.8
Auto29.5
Teleop51.6
End41.1
blue by 9.6
131.72.4
126.0128.5
Auto23.7
Teleop56.5
End51.5
Second
910
#16
107.81.4
106.6108.1
Auto13.6
Teleop56.0
End38.1
blue by 7.4
2830
#27
115.12.4
114.4116.9
Auto14.1
Teleop54.4
End46.6
Third
66
#46
91.31.4
85.386.7
Auto13.9
Teleop51.7
End25.8
blue by 12.2
6328
#33
103.52.4
97.8100.3
Auto15.8
Teleop45.9
End41.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
27%Rotor oddsEarned42%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
63%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed