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Red325
1285113.1
85106.2
422672.6
Blue349
4976136.3
544292.7
1306101.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973580100200400500600700325349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#54
113.10.3
113.2113.5
Auto11.6
Teleop58.9
End42.6
blue by 23.1
136.31.1
138.0139.1
Auto20.3
Teleop66.1
End49.8
Second
85
#44
106.20.3
102.3102.6
Auto12.4
Teleop54.4
End39.4
red by 4.7
1306
#34
101.51.1
102.4103.5
Auto13.9
Teleop47.8
End39.8
Third
4226
#65
72.60.3
74.975.2
Auto8.4
Teleop27.6
End36.6
blue by 20.0
5442
#39
92.71.1
91.792.8
Auto11.4
Teleop43.4
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
51%Rotor oddsEarned80%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsEarned