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Quarterfinal 4-32017 Darwin Division
Red511
314108.9
48105.9
1305120.5
Blue445
78107.9
4939113.1
131110.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424451100200300500600700511445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#4
120.51.2
119.0→120.2
Auto17.9
Teleop58.9
End43.7
red by 7.4
4939
#7
113.10.3
112.8→113.1
Auto14.5
Teleop60.7
End37.9
Second
314
#39
108.91.2
107.4→108.6
Auto16.1
Teleop55.8
End37.0
blue by 1.5
131
#20
110.40.3
110.1→110.4
Auto13.6
Teleop48.9
End48.0
Third
48
#34
105.91.2
104.4→105.6
Auto17.2
Teleop55.7
End32.9
blue by 2.0
78
#30
107.90.3
107.6→107.9
Auto9.8
Teleop51.1
End46.9