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Qual 12017 Darwin Division
Red280
527988.2
6201108.1
1885132.8
Blue351
379101.5
264899.0
4814112.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305303240260280320340360280351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#5
132.81.9
110.8→108.9
Auto14.2
Teleop59.3
End59.3
red by 20.1
4814
#6
112.73.8
102.3→106.1
Auto11.6
Teleop54.5
End46.6
Second
6201
#16
108.11.9
87.6→85.7
Auto15.6
Teleop50.9
End41.6
red by 6.6
379
#29
101.53.8
101.6→105.4
Auto15.5
Teleop46.4
End39.6
Third
5279
#32
88.21.9
85.7→83.7
Auto11.1
Teleop38.7
End38.4
blue by 10.8
2648
#10
99.03.8
90.0→93.8
Auto10.3
Teleop55.2
End33.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed25%Pressure oddsEarned