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Qual 162017 Darwin Division
Red213
5036106.4
1155105.7
415185.2
Blue305
166077.6
131110.4
3656112.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2943090100200400500600700213305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5036
#31
106.44.6
97.9→93.3
Auto14.1
Teleop53.0
End39.2
blue by 6.0
3656
#26
112.40.9
111.5→112.4
Auto15.1
Teleop50.3
End46.9
Second
1155
#47
105.74.6
101.2→96.6
Auto13.3
Teleop42.9
End49.5
blue by 4.7
131
#20
110.40.9
103.5→104.3
Auto13.6
Teleop48.9
End48.0
Third
4151
#65
85.24.6
82.5→78.0
Auto10.0
Teleop37.5
End37.7
red by 7.6
1660
#64
77.60.9
76.6→77.5
Auto9.4
Teleop35.0
End33.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed