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Red319
86898.5
2067103.7
415185.2
Blue346
432589.8
702100.8
1155105.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285279150200250300350400319346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#23
103.73.2
93.496.7
Auto14.3
Teleop44.3
End45.1
blue by 2.0
1155
#47
105.75.3
96.6101.9
Auto13.3
Teleop42.9
End49.5
Second
868
#51Sur
98.53.2
99.0102.2
Auto6.4
Teleop49.5
End42.7
blue by 2.3
702
#27Sur
100.85.3
81.586.9
Auto14.9
Teleop46.6
End39.2
Third
4151
#65
85.23.2
78.081.2
Auto10.0
Teleop37.5
End37.7
blue by 4.6
4325
#57
89.85.3
87.893.2
Auto7.8
Teleop45.9
End36.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed