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Qual 302017 Darwin Division
Red350
648191.2
332484.1
3928115.7
Blue354
1305120.5
329994.7
5413103.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297297200250350350354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#11
115.72.7
112.5→115.2
Auto10.4
Teleop51.1
End54.2
blue by 4.8
1305
#4
120.53.2
97.5→100.7
Auto17.9
Teleop58.9
End43.7
Second
6481
#22
91.22.7
73.7→76.4
Auto9.2
Teleop47.0
End35.0
blue by 12.2
5413
#24
103.43.2
95.1→98.3
Auto7.5
Teleop49.8
End46.1
Third
3324
#46
84.12.7
98.1→100.8
Auto7.2
Teleop39.3
End37.6
blue by 10.6
3299
#50
94.73.9
88.1→92.1
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End45.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed2%Pressure oddsEarned