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Red255
74123.9
315784.5
3656112.4
Blue428
512355.4
332484.1
3310139.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422750100200400500600700800255428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#14
123.94.1
123.8119.7
Auto11.4
Teleop54.0
End58.5
blue by 15.7
139.61.1
124.0122.8
Auto26.7
Teleop59.6
End53.3
Second
3656
#26
112.44.1
110.0105.9
Auto15.1
Teleop50.3
End46.9
red by 28.3
3324
#46
84.11.1
100.899.7
Auto7.2
Teleop39.3
End37.6
Third
3157
#42
84.54.1
82.578.4
Auto9.3
Teleop40.1
End35.1
red by 29.1
5123
#41
55.41.1
45.144.0
Auto4.0
Teleop33.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
21%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed