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Red355
4814112.7
229108.9
610134.7
Blue256
428474.4
5505111.5
3928115.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662990100200500600700800355256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#18
134.71.0
128.9129.9
Auto20.1
Teleop65.1
End49.5
red by 19.0
3928
#11
115.72.5
115.2112.7
Auto10.4
Teleop51.1
End54.2
Second
112.71.0
105.0106.0
Auto11.6
Teleop54.5
End46.6
red by 1.2
5505
#21
111.52.5
108.9106.5
Auto11.6
Teleop53.4
End46.4
Third
229
#12
108.91.0
105.7106.7
Auto10.6
Teleop52.9
End45.5
red by 34.5
4284
#63
74.42.5
69.166.6
Auto6.1
Teleop38.4
End29.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
39%Rotor oddsEarned3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed