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Red401
631892.0
1885132.8
1986169.0
Blue312
48105.9
1305120.5
1155105.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122930100200500600401312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.01.6
170.9172.5
Auto45.5
Teleop63.6
End59.9
red by 48.5
120.51.2
100.7101.9
Auto17.9
Teleop58.9
End43.7
Second
132.81.6
109.3110.9
Auto14.2
Teleop59.3
End59.3
red by 26.9
48
#34
105.91.2
91.292.4
Auto17.2
Teleop55.7
End32.9
Third
6318
#15
92.01.8
96.298.0
Auto7.5
Teleop51.2
End33.4
blue by 13.7
1155
#47
105.71.2
101.9103.1
Auto13.3
Teleop42.9
End49.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsEarned2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
65%Pressure oddsEarned3%Pressure oddsEarned