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Red351
527988.2
1114144.3
548116.6
Blue230
457190.2
452593.2
327481.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542490100200300400500600700351230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.31.9
133.2135.0
Auto34.1
Teleop56.0
End54.2
red by 51.1
4525
#60
93.21.4
93.091.6
Auto13.8
Teleop52.2
End27.1
Second
548
#8
116.61.9
103.0104.8
Auto13.4
Teleop54.9
End48.3
red by 26.4
4571
#49
90.21.4
77.476.1
Auto9.1
Teleop38.0
End43.1
Third
5279
#32
88.21.9
86.988.7
Auto11.1
Teleop38.7
End38.4
red by 6.5
3274
#66
81.81.4
80.178.8
Auto6.5
Teleop37.5
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
15%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed