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Red158
428474.4
329994.7
53773.1
Blue285
516296.1
83693.7
589184.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402850100200400500600158285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3299
#50
94.75.4
90.985.5
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End45.3
blue by 1.4
5162
#61
96.11.3
88.189.4
Auto7.7
Teleop43.0
End45.4
Second
4284
#63
74.45.4
66.661.3
Auto6.1
Teleop38.4
End29.9
blue by 19.3
836
#52
93.71.3
95.496.8
Auto11.4
Teleop47.4
End34.9
Third
537
#67
73.15.4
76.270.8
Auto9.2
Teleop29.0
End34.9
blue by 11.2
5891
#55
84.31.3
81.482.8
Auto9.1
Teleop29.4
End45.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed