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Red320
3656112.4
48105.9
4814112.7
Blue295
329994.7
702100.8
349288.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352750100200400500600700800320295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.71.0
106.2105.2
Auto11.6
Teleop54.5
End46.6
red by 11.9
702
#27
100.81.7
95.296.9
Auto14.9
Teleop46.6
End39.2
Second
3656
#26
112.41.0
109.4108.4
Auto15.1
Teleop50.3
End46.9
red by 17.7
3299
#50
94.71.7
89.290.9
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End45.3
Third
48
#34
105.91.0
94.793.7
Auto17.2
Teleop55.7
End32.9
red by 17.4
3492
#33
88.41.7
84.986.7
Auto14.1
Teleop38.0
End36.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
56%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed