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Red124
35985.5
379101.5
589184.3
Blue264
67752.3
2067103.7
5036106.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222560100200400500600700124264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#29
101.511.5
110.398.8
Auto15.5
Teleop46.4
End39.6
blue by 4.9
5036
#31
106.40.8
102.4103.2
Auto14.1
Teleop53.0
End39.2
Second
359
#45
85.511.5
100.689.1
Auto12.8
Teleop50.4
End22.3
blue by 18.2
2067
#23
103.70.8
103.8104.6
Auto14.3
Teleop44.3
End45.1
Third
5891
#55
84.311.5
86.374.7
Auto9.1
Teleop29.4
End45.9
red by 32.1
677
#68
52.30.8
45.346.2
Auto6.5
Teleop36.0
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed23%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed