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Red396
1305120.5
1885132.8
633183.3
Blue373
1114144.3
237099.7
131110.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3313700100200500600700800396373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
132.84.8
123.7128.4
Auto14.2
Teleop59.3
End59.3
blue by 11.5
144.31.8
140.0141.8
Auto34.1
Teleop56.0
End54.2
Second
120.54.8
109.5114.3
Auto17.9
Teleop58.9
End43.7
red by 10.1
131
#20
110.41.8
106.0107.8
Auto13.6
Teleop48.9
End48.0
Third
6331
#13
83.34.8
86.491.2
Auto8.2
Teleop45.4
End29.7
blue by 16.4
2370
#44
99.71.8
100.0101.8
Auto11.9
Teleop53.9
End34.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
27%Rotor oddsEarned66%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
7%Pressure oddsEarned28%Pressure oddsMissed