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Red518
610134.7
1114144.3
35985.5
Blue322
1305120.5
48105.9
314108.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488426100200300600700800518322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.30.5
145.8146.3
Auto34.1
Teleop56.0
End54.2
red by 23.8
120.50.8
121.3120.5
Auto17.9
Teleop58.9
End43.7
Second
610
#18
134.70.5
136.2136.7
Auto20.1
Teleop65.1
End49.5
red by 25.8
314
#39
108.90.8
109.7108.9
Auto16.1
Teleop55.8
End37.0
Third
359
#45
85.50.5
86.987.5
Auto12.8
Teleop50.4
End22.3
blue by 20.4
48
#34
105.90.8
106.7105.9
Auto17.2
Teleop55.7
End32.9