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Red448
174491.8
180109.9
448199.2
Blue291
238380.8
8697.8
1065107.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315301100200400500600448291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
109.91.6
108.3109.9
Auto11.4
Teleop51.7
End46.8
red by 2.6
1065
#15
107.30.7
108.0107.3
Auto13.5
Teleop41.1
End52.8
Second
99.21.1
98.199.2
Auto8.6
Teleop49.4
End41.2
red by 1.4
86
#7
97.80.7
98.597.8
Auto14.4
Teleop38.6
End44.8
Third
1744
#30
91.81.1
90.791.8
Auto8.2
Teleop40.6
End43.1
red by 11.0
2383
#25
80.80.5
81.380.8
Auto9.8
Teleop46.2
End24.8