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Red200
401358.1
365394.6
448199.2
Blue172
80164.2
386108.5
94579.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2352180100300400500200172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.21.4
91.990.6
Auto8.6
Teleop49.4
End41.2
blue by 9.3
386
#16
108.53.2
111.5108.3
Auto15.9
Teleop44.0
End48.6
Second
3653
#14
94.61.5
70.168.6
Auto10.6
Teleop48.5
End35.6
red by 15.4
945
#42
79.24.8
44.840.1
Auto11.1
Teleop35.6
End32.5
Third
4013
#32
58.12.3
58.656.3
Auto5.9
Teleop30.3
End21.9
blue by 6.1
801
#33
64.24.8
53.648.8
Auto8.8
Teleop30.2
End25.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed