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Red135
164942.7
174491.8
242541.0
Blue215
80164.2
575339.3
476973.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17215350100200250135215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1744
#30
91.81.7
89.087.3
Auto8.2
Teleop40.6
End43.1
red by 18.0
4769
#12
73.84.7
47.652.3
Auto4.4
Teleop28.0
End41.4
Second
1649
#62
42.72.9
40.537.6
Auto4.4
Teleop23.1
End15.2
blue by 21.6
801
#33
64.24.7
56.260.9
Auto8.8
Teleop30.2
End25.2
Third
2425
#55
41.02.9
31.328.5
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End9.5
red by 1.6
5753
#49
39.34.7
44.048.6
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed