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Red213
362751.1
159292.8
355685.7
Blue195
94579.2
528336.8
406579.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2171460100300400213195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#24
92.81.3
80.681.9
Auto10.2
Teleop46.7
End35.8
red by 13.0
79.85.1
63.668.7
Auto9.3
Teleop23.9
End46.5
Second
3556
#54
85.71.3
73.174.3
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End33.9
red by 6.5
945
#42
79.25.1
51.756.8
Auto11.1
Teleop35.6
End32.5
Third
3627
#23
51.11.3
43.044.2
Auto10.3
Teleop29.9
End10.9
red by 14.3
5283
#61
36.85.1
33.838.9
Auto7.3
Teleop33.8
End-4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed