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Red255
180109.9
406461.9
316464.5
Blue165
242541.0
291650.1
459293.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201660100300400500255165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
109.96.0
99.9105.9
Auto11.4
Teleop51.7
End46.8
red by 16.2
4592
#18
93.70.0
81.181.1
Auto10.2
Teleop41.1
End42.4
Second
3164
#40
64.56.0
44.350.3
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End27.9
red by 14.4
2916
#35
50.10.0
51.651.6
Auto7.9
Teleop28.1
End14.1
Third
61.96.0
57.163.1
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End25.1
red by 20.9
2425
#55
41.00.0
32.432.4
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed