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Red211
233104.6
618446.1
402444.3
Blue190
401358.1
666952.4
174491.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193218050100150250300350400211190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#17
104.61.6
101.6103.2
Auto13.3
Teleop45.7
End45.7
red by 12.8
1744
#30
91.80.9
90.889.9
Auto8.2
Teleop40.6
End43.1
Second
6184
#59
46.12.5
43.646.1
Auto11.0
Teleop24.4
End10.7
blue by 12.0
4013
#32
58.11.4
59.558.1
Auto5.9
Teleop30.3
End21.9
Third
4024
#48
44.32.5
41.844.3
Auto3.5
Teleop25.0
End15.7
blue by 8.1
6669
#57
52.40.9
53.352.4
Auto4.6
Teleop27.3
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed