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Red255
255663.4
600166.2
448190.4
Blue250
125172.4
581952.2
34864.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2371900100300400255250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#12
90.40.9
89.790.6
Auto7.7
Teleop38.3
End44.4
red by 18.0
1251
#14
72.41.7
71.373.1
Auto2.8
Teleop30.7
End38.9
Second
66.21.0
65.466.4
Auto8.2
Teleop35.2
End22.8
red by 1.4
348
#16
64.71.7
63.765.5
Auto12.4
Teleop36.9
End15.4
Third
2556
#27
63.41.0
62.663.6
Auto6.6
Teleop30.4
End26.4
red by 11.2
5819
#11
52.21.7
51.252.9
Auto6.9
Teleop35.8
End9.5