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Red160
603849.6
174484.8
69485.3
Blue250
26376.8
264167.9
447168.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402230100300400500600160250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
85.31.8
87.185.3
Auto8.5
Teleop49.1
End27.7
red by 8.5
263
#15
76.80.9
76.877.7
Auto8.1
Teleop40.9
End27.8
Second
84.81.8
86.684.8
Auto6.5
Teleop38.6
End39.7
red by 15.9
4471
#13
68.91.0
68.969.9
Auto3.6
Teleop22.9
End42.4
Third
6038
#31
49.61.8
51.349.6
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End21.3
blue by 18.4
2641
#10
67.91.0
67.968.9
Auto3.2
Teleop29.4
End35.4