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Red228
640476.5
152393.2
12571.7
Blue195
238364.9
215279.0
5964.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422160100300400228195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.20.1
88.188.0
Auto10.1
Teleop40.7
End42.4
red by 14.3
79.00.4
79.379.0
Auto8.0
Teleop26.8
End44.1
Second
6404
#25
76.50.1
71.371.2
Auto8.0
Teleop36.8
End31.8
red by 11.7
2383
#17
64.90.4
65.264.9
Auto9.0
Teleop40.7
End15.2
Third
125
#19
71.70.1
67.567.4
Auto7.5
Teleop35.2
End29.0
red by 7.7
59
#24
64.00.4
64.464.0
Auto3.2
Teleop37.7
End23.0