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Red235
386107.6
69485.3
547252.6
Blue204
459259.4
447168.9
7963.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164169050100200250300350400235204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#6
107.68.7
53.061.7
Auto15.5
Teleop40.7
End51.4
red by 38.8
4471
#13
68.94.9
43.648.5
Auto3.6
Teleop22.9
End42.4
Second
694
#8
85.38.7
57.966.7
Auto8.5
Teleop49.1
End27.7
red by 21.9
79
#21
63.44.9
72.277.1
Auto6.7
Teleop38.0
End18.7
Third
5472
#29
52.68.7
45.754.4
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End16.2
blue by 6.8
4592
#23
59.44.9
44.048.9
Auto5.1
Teleop29.1
End25.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed