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Red189
622566.0
23392.3
524339.7
Blue90
532930.3
291459.9
599345.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175116020030040018990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#7
92.33.4
84.888.3
Auto9.8
Teleop41.4
End41.1
red by 32.5
2914
#22
59.93.2
51.548.3
Auto7.6
Teleop21.9
End30.3
Second
6225
#20
66.03.4
42.445.8
Auto7.0
Teleop26.7
End32.3
red by 20.6
5993
#41
45.43.2
30.727.5
Auto6.5
Teleop18.5
End20.4
Third
5243
#42
39.73.4
30.834.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.2
End11.8
red by 9.4
5329
#37
30.33.2
36.433.3
Auto4.8
Teleop27.4
End-2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed