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Red140
451733.0
555856.5
26376.8
Blue220
547252.6
638848.8
255663.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157161120140180200220140220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#15
76.82.2
60.558.3
Auto8.1
Teleop40.9
End27.8
red by 13.4
2556
#27
63.40.8
58.657.8
Auto6.6
Teleop30.4
End26.4
Second
5558
#26
56.52.2
55.052.8
Auto3.3
Teleop25.1
End28.1
red by 3.9
5472
#29
52.60.8
55.654.7
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End16.2
Third
4517
#47
33.02.2
34.332.1
Auto2.0
Teleop22.6
End8.4
blue by 15.9
6388
#18
48.80.8
38.437.5
Auto5.3
Teleop22.6
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed