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Red290
7963.4
17989.3
555856.5
Blue10
599345.4
555736.2
674331.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18912404006008001,0001,20029010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
89.312.7
75.287.9
Auto9.9
Teleop48.4
End31.0
red by 43.9
5993
#41
45.413.0
44.431.4
Auto6.5
Teleop18.5
End20.4
Second
79
#21
63.412.7
59.572.2
Auto6.7
Teleop38.0
End18.7
red by 27.3
5557
#45
36.213.0
42.829.8
Auto2.7
Teleop22.3
End11.2
Third
5558
#26
56.512.7
35.748.4
Auto3.3
Teleop25.1
End28.1
red by 25.0
6743
#36
31.54.6
31.526.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.0
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed