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Red310
419344.2
507467.1
445966.7
Blue255
553672.9
332970.8
177150.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1522080100300400500310255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.13.4
58.361.7
Auto10.5
Teleop41.4
End15.2
blue by 5.8
5536
#11
72.91.5
71.272.7
Auto8.7
Teleop33.9
End30.3
Second
4459
#13
66.73.4
57.861.2
Auto5.1
Teleop37.8
End23.8
blue by 4.1
70.81.5
69.170.6
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End31.6
Third
4193
#20
44.23.4
35.338.7
Auto4.0
Teleop30.3
End9.8
blue by 6.8
1771
#26
50.91.5
49.250.7
Auto8.7
Teleop34.0
End8.2